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Faty, E. H. A. A. (2010). La fuite des cerveaux au Sénégal: mythe ou réalité.. Montréal.
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Guilmoto, C. Z., & Ren, Q. (2011). Socio‐economic Differentials in Birth Masculinity in China. Development and Change, 42(5), 1269–1296.
Résumé : This article examines the relationship between birth masculinity and socio-economic levels in China. Both 2000 and 2005 data suggest the presence of a non-linear relationship between the sex ratio at birth and socio-economic status, with a lower sex ratio at birth observed among both the poorest and the richest households. This inverted-U pattern is significantly different from what is observed in India and what has been assumed previously for China. Multivariate analyses indicate that this pattern persists after the introduction of several other covariates of birth masculinity such as ethnicity, fertility, migration status, age or parity. These results suggest that further economic advances and socio-economic mobility could contribute to the return to normalcy of the sex ratio at birth.
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Guilmoto, C. Z. (2012). Skewed Sex Ratios at Birth and Future Marriage Squeeze in China and India, 2005–2100. Demography, 49(1), 77–100.
Résumé : I examine the potential impact of the anticipated future marriage squeeze on nuptiality patterns in China and India during the twenty-first century. I use population projections from 2005 to 2100 based on three different scenarios for the sex ratio at birth (SRB). To counteract the limitations of cross-sectional methods commonly used to assess the severity of marriage squeezes, I use a two-sex cohort-based procedure to simulate marriage patterns over the twenty-first century based on the female dominance model. I also examine two more-flexible marriage functions to illustrate the potential impact of changes in marriage schedules as a response to the marriage squeeze. Longitudinal indicators of marriage squeeze indicate that the number of prospective grooms in both countries will exceed that of prospective brides by more 50% for three decades in the most favorable scenario. Rates of male bachelorhood will not peak before 2050, and the squeeze conditions will be felt several decades thereafter, even among cohorts unaffected by adverse SRB. If the SRB is allowed to return to normalcy by 2020, the proportion of men unmarried at age 50 is expected to rise to 15% in China by 2055 and to 10% in India by 2065. India suffers from the additional impact of a delayed fertility transition on its age structures.
Mots-Clés : China; Humanities, Social Sciences and Law; India; Marriage simulation; Marriage squeeze; Sex ratio at birth
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Guilmoto, C. Z. (2011). Sex Ratio at Birth in Viet Nam: New evidence on patterns, trends and differentials. Ha Noi: UNFPA, Viet Nam Population and Housing Census 2009, General Statistics Office.
Résumé : This monograph titled “Sex Ratio at Birth in Viet Nam: New Evidence on Patterns, Trends and Differentials” uses the 15% sample data of the 2009 census and provides the most comprehensive and updated information to readers on the current trends of the SRB in Viet Nam. It also provides relevant information on the geographic and socio-economic characteristics of the SRB phenomenon in the country, and attempts to provide scenarios of possible future evolution of this indicator and the impact it may have on society.
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Fargues, P., Chanda, R., Cholewinski, R., Guilmoto, C. Z., Hultin, G., Meyer, J. - B., et al. (2010). India-EU mobility: where it stands and the way forward (Vol. 2). SWG Policy Note, (2). Florence: CARIM, European University Institute.
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